Nilesh Garg

AGI Timeline: When Will We Achieve Artificial General Intelligence?

Analyzing expert predictions and milestones toward AGI

Published 2025-01-22 ยท Updated 2025-09-04

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AGI Timeline: When Will We Achieve Artificial General Intelligence?

The race toward Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) - AI that matches or exceeds human cognitive abilities across all domains - is intensifying.

Expert Predictions

  • Optimistic: 2027-2030 (some OpenAI researchers)
  • Moderate: 2035-2045 (majority of AI researchers)
  • Conservative: 2050+ (skeptical voices)

Key Milestones

  • Multimodal reasoning
  • Few-shot learning across domains
  • Self-improvement capabilities
  • Human-level performance on all cognitive tasks

The Implications

AGI could be the last invention humanity ever needs to make - or our greatest challenge. The stakes couldn't be higher.